Research - Pierre Nguimkeu

Selected Peer-Reviewed Publications

Econometric & Statistical Methods

“Tricks with Metrics: Modified Statistics for Improved Inference with Small Samples”, Econometric Reviews, 1-14, 2024.
“Early Dynamics of Transmission and Projections of COVID-19 in Some West African Countries” (with J.C. Assob and D. Dongo), Infectious Disease Modelling, 5, 839-847, 2020.
“Bootstrapping Mean Squared Errors of Robust Small-Area Estimators: Application to the Method-of-Payments Data” (with V. D. Jiongo), Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2019.
“Response to Comment: Estimating the productivity Impact of Technology adoption in the Presence of Misclassification” (with T. Wossen, T. Abdoulaye, A. Alene, S. Feleke, M. Haile), American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 101 (1), 19, 2019.
“On the Estimation of Treatment Effects with Endogenous Misreporting” (with A. Dentehand R. Tchernis), Journal of Econometrics, 208 (2), 487-506, 2019.
“Estimating the Productivity Impact of Technology Adoption in the Presence of Misclassification”(with T. Wossen, T. Abdoulaye, A. Alene, S. Feleke, M. Haile), American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 101 (1), 1-16, 2019. Lead article.
“An Improved AR(1) vs MA(1) Errors Test in Regression Models”, Journal of Time Series Econometrics 8(1), 41-54, 2015.
“A Simple Selection Test Between the Gompertz and the Logistic Growth Curves”, Technological Forecasting & Social Change 88, 98-105, 2014.
“Improved Inference for Moving Average Disturbances in Nonlinear Regression Models”, Journal of Probability & Statistics, Volume 2014, Article ID 207087, 2014.
Highly Accurate Interval Estimation of the Stress-Strength Reliability with Normal Random Variables” (with Marie Rekkas and Augustine Wong), Communication in Statistics: Theory & Methods 44(6), 1210-1221, 2013.
“Third-order Inference for Autocorrelation in Nonlinear Regression Models” (with Marie Rekkas), Journal of Statistical Planning & Inference 141, 3413-3425, 2011.

Economic Development & Policy Analysis

“Credit Constraints and Delayed Entrepreneurship”, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 224, 156-180, 2024.
“Manufacturing in Structural Change in Africa” (with Albert G. Zeufack), World Development, 177, 106542, 2024.
“Discrepancy and Cross-Regional Bias in Sovereign Credit Ratings: Analyzing the Role of Public Debt”(with O. Ben Hmiden, D. Tatoutchoup, and D. Avele), Economic Modeling, 131, 106600, 2023.
“A Structural Model of Informality with Constrained Entrepreneurship”, Economic Development & Cultural Change, 70(3), 941-980, 2022.
“Leveraging digital technologies to boost productivity in the informal sector in Sub‐Saharan Africa” (with C. Okou), Review of Policy Research, 38(6), 707-731, 2021.
“Why is the Number of COVID-19 Cases Lower than Expected in Sub-Saharan Africa? A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the Role of Demographic and Geographic Factors” (with S. Tadadjeu), World Development, 138, 105251, 2020.
“Does Social Pressure Hinder Entrepreneurship in Africa? The Forced Mutual Help Hypothesis” (with Philippe Alby and Emmanuelle Auriol), Economica, 87, 299–327, 2019.
“Robust Learning in Foreign Exchange Market” (with Edouard Djeutem), The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 20(1), 14, 2018.
“The effect of a performance-based financing program on HIV and maternal/child health services in Mozambique” (with Y. Rajkotia, O. Zang, J. Gergen, I. Djurovic, P. Vaz, F. Mbofana, K. Jobarteh ), Health Policy & Planning 10, 1–11, 2017.
“Habit formation and Exhaustible Resource Risk-Pricing” (with J. Kakeu), Energy Economics 64, 1-12, 2017, Lead article.
“Some Effects of Business Environment on Retail Firms”, Applied Economics 48(18), 1647-1654, 2016.
“A Structural Econometric Analysis of the Informal Sector Heterogeneity“, Journal of Development Economics 107, 175-191, 2014.

Working Papers & Works in Progress

Nguimkeu, P. and C. Okou, “Digital Adoption and the Liquidity Trap: Structural
Evidence from Food Suppliers in Benin”. Working Paper.[pdf]
“Does More Recycling Always Mean More Trees?” (with Francis Tatoutchoup), Working Paper. [pdf]
“Estimating Program Participation with Partial Validation” (with Augustine Denteh), Working Paper. [pdf]
“Corrupt Binary Confounders”, Working Paper. [pdf]
Mtenga, E. and P. Nguimkeu, “Estimating Treatment Effect in the Presence of Overlapping Programs and Misreporting”. Working Paper.
Mtenga, E. and P. Nguimkeu, “Estimating Treatment Effect with Missing Participation”. Working Paper.
“Regression with a Misclassified Binary Regressor: Correcting for the Hidden Bias” (with R. Rosenman and V. Tennekoon)[pdf]
“A Hausman Specification Test of Conditional Moments Restrictions” (with Pascal Lavergne) [pdf]
“Capital-Resource Economies under Recursive Preferences” (with Johnson Kakeu) [pdf]
“Spatial and Sectoral Heterogeneity of Occupational Choice in Cameroon” (with Theophile Bougna), The World Bank.
“Optimal Taxation of Road Quality with Gasoline Pricing” (with Samuel Asare)

Policy Briefs/Book Chapters

Nguimkeu, P. and C. Okou (2021), “Does informality increase the spread of COVID-19 in Africa? A cross-country examination” Applied Economics Letters, 1-5
Nguimkeu, P. and C. Okou (2020), “Tale of Africa Today: balancing the lives and livelihoods of informal workers during the COVID-19 pandemic” Africa Knowledge in Time Policy Brief, 1(3), 1-6. World Bank Group.
Nguimkeu, P. and C. Okou (2019),”Informality”, In The Future of Work in Africa: Harnessing the Potential of Digital Technologies for All, Jieun Choi, Mark Dutz, and Zainab Usman (Eds.), World Bank.
Nguimkeu, P. (2017), “Réforme de la structure fiscale et Intégration régionale”, Revue Interventions Economiques/Papers in Political Economy, 2017, 83-86.
Rajkotia, Y., Zang, O., Nguimkeu, P., and I. Djurovic (2016),“Has performance-based financing accelerated progress towards controlling the HIV epidemic? An impact evaluation of Mozambique’s HIV-focused PBF programme” , Journal of the International AIDS Society, 18 (Suppl 4), 86.
Nguimkeu (2014), “Diagnostic du Secteur du Commerce et Proposition de Solutions” in A. Fotso and R. Tsafack Nanfosso(Eds) “Les 100 Propositions du GICAM pour l’Emergence du Cameroun”, Editions Clé.
“Bayesian Estimation of Correlation Matrices: Application to the Multivariate G.A.R.C.H. Model”, M.Sc. Thesis; University of Montreal, 2008.